What does the probabilistic view of combat suggest?

The probabilistic view of combat posits that combat is inherently unpredictable and significantly influenced by various environmental factors. This perspective acknowledges that numerous variables, such as weather, terrain, human behavior, and unforeseen events, can all impact the outcomes of military engagements. Because these factors are often beyond the control of planners and commanders, combat cannot be accurately predicted in absolute terms; rather, it operates within a framework of probabilities.

This viewpoint emphasizes the importance of adaptability and flexibility in military strategy, as the chaotic nature of combat can lead to unexpected scenarios. Understanding that combat involves uncertainties encourages military leaders to prepare for a range of possible outcomes and to make decisions based on an assessment of risks rather than attempting to create a rigid, overly deterministic plan. Ultimately, this approach fosters a mindset that is better equipped to handle the complexities of real-world combat situations.